Dún Laoghaire constituency profile: If there is a change, the Greens could lose out

Outgoing TDs:
Who are the candidates running in the Dún Laoghaire constituency? Jennifer Carroll MacNeill (Fine Gael) Barry Ward (Fine Gael), Martha Fanning (Labour Party), Shane O’Brien (Sinn Féin), Mairéad Tóibín (Aontú), Hugo Mills (Social Democrats), Cathy Lynch (Independent/National Alliance), Richard Boyd-Barrett (People Before Profit), Cormac Devlin (Fianna Fail), Ossian Smyth (Greens)
Another target for two seats in a Fine Gael heartland. But second candidate Barry Ward has his work cut out to accompany Jennifer Carroll MacNeill back to the Dáil and a careful division of the constituency will be needed if two Fine Gaelers are to come home.
Richard Boyd-Barrett has been a TD since 2011 and has a strong local and national brand that is pretty well dug in at this stage. It’s hard to see him losing out.
There has usually been a Fianna Fáil seat here and Cormac Devlin is careful in tending to his on-the-ground work. If there is to be a change, it could be the Greens’ Ossian Smyth who loses out, though it’s far from clear that the Social Democrats Hugo Mills or Labour’s Martha Fanning have the profile across the constituency to topple him. Labour once had a reliable seat here – Niamh Breathnach had it, and so did Eamon Gilmore – but that’s a long time ago.
Possible outcome: FG – 1, FF – 1, PBPS – 1, G – 1